import pandas as pd import matplotlib.pyplot as plt import seaborn as sns import statsmodels.api as sm import numpy as np import quantcommon # 모멘텀 포트폴리오. 최근 12개월 수익률이 높은 주식 engine = quantcommon.QuantCommon().create_engine() ticker_list = pd.read_sql( """ select * from kor_ticker where 기준일 = (select max(기준일) from kor_ticker) and 종목구분 = '보통주'; """, con=engine) price_list = pd.read_sql( """ select 날짜, 종가, 종목코드 from kor_price where 날짜 >= (select (select max(날짜) from kor_price) - interval 1 year); """, con=engine) engine.dispose() price_pivot = price_list.pivot(index='날짜', columns='종목코드', values='종가') ret_list = pd.DataFrame(data=(price_pivot.iloc[-1] / price_pivot.iloc[0]) - 1, columns=['return']) data_bind = ticker_list[['종목코드', '종목명']].merge(ret_list, how='left', on='종목코드') momentum_rank = data_bind['return'].rank(axis=0, ascending=False) price_momentum = price_list[price_list['종목코드'].isin( data_bind.loc[momentum_rank <= 20, '종목코드'])] plt.rc('font', family='Malgun Gothic') g = sns.relplot(data=price_momentum, x='날짜', y='종가', col='종목코드', col_wrap=5, kind='line', facet_kws={ 'sharey': False, 'sharex': True }) g.set(xticklabels=[]) g.set(xlabel=None) g.set(ylabel=None) g.fig.set_figwidth(15) g.fig.set_figheight(8) plt.subplots_adjust(wspace=0.5, hspace=0.2) # plt.show() # k-ratio(모멘텀의 꾸준함 지표) ret = price_pivot.pct_change().iloc[1:] ret_cum = np.log(1 + ret).cumsum() x = np.array(range(len(ret))) y = ret_cum.iloc[:, 0].values reg = sm.OLS(y, x).fit() reg.summary() x = np.array(range(len(ret))) k_ratio = {} for i in range(0, len(ticker_list)): ticker = data_bind.loc[i, '종목코드'] try: y = ret_cum.loc[:, price_pivot.columns == ticker] reg = sm.OLS(y, x).fit() res = float(reg.params / reg.bse) except: res = np.nan k_ratio[ticker] = res k_ratio_bind = pd.DataFrame.from_dict(k_ratio, orient='index').reset_index() k_ratio_bind.columns = ['종목코드', 'K_ratio'] k_ratio_bind.head() data_bind = data_bind.merge(k_ratio_bind, how='left', on='종목코드') k_ratio_rank = data_bind['K_ratio'].rank(axis=0, ascending=False) print(data_bind[k_ratio_rank <= 20]) k_ratio_momentum = price_list[price_list['종목코드'].isin(data_bind.loc[k_ratio_rank <= 20, '종목코드'])] plt.rc('font', family='Malgun Gothic') g = sns.relplot(data=k_ratio_momentum, x='날짜', y='종가', col='종목코드', col_wrap=5, kind='line', facet_kws={ 'sharey': False, 'sharex': True }) g.set(xticklabels=[]) g.set(xlabel=None) g.set(ylabel=None) g.fig.set_figwidth(15) g.fig.set_figheight(8) plt.subplots_adjust(wspace=0.5, hspace=0.2) plt.show()